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Business • 2026-11-02, 02:44 ET • ~1 min read

امریکی اسٹاک مارکیٹ کی قدر 28 سال میں صرف تیسری بار اس سطح پر، تاریخ میں تیز موڑ کی وارننگ

US stocks hit a valuation seen only three times in 28 years, history warns of a sharp turn

اہم نکات

  • امریکی اسٹاکس کی طویل مدتی قدر جانچنے والا پیمانہ 28 سال میں صرف تیسری بار اس سطح پر پہنچ گیا ہے۔ 26 اکتوبر کو بندش پر ایس اینڈ پی 500 کا شلر پرائس ٹو ارننگز تناسب 40.66 تھا، جو اس کی طویل مدتی اوسط 17.44 سے بہت زیادہ ہے۔ یہ پیمانہ اب تقریباً چھ ماہ سے 40 سے اوپر ہے، جس کی وجہ اے آئی کی تیزی ہے جس نے 2022 کی مندی کے بعد ڈاؤ، ایس اینڈ پی 500 اور نیسڈیک کو تیزی سے اوپر لے جایا ہے۔ تاریخ بتاتی ہے کہ اتنی بلند قدریں قائم نہیں رہتیں، لیکن ماضی کا انداز یہ نہیں بتا سکتا کہ گراوٹ کب آئے گی۔

امریکی اسٹاکس کی طویل مدتی قدر جانچنے والا پیمانہ 28 سال میں صرف تیسری بار اس سطح پر پہنچ گیا ہے۔ 26 اکتوبر کو بندش پر ایس اینڈ پی 500 کا شلر پرائس ٹو ارننگز تناسب 40.66 تھا، جو اس کی طویل مدتی اوسط 17.44 سے بہت زیادہ ہے۔ یہ پیمانہ اب تقریباً چھ ماہ سے 40 سے اوپر ہے، جس کی وجہ اے آئی کی تیزی ہے جس نے 2022 کی مندی کے بعد ڈاؤ، ایس اینڈ پی 500 اور نیسڈیک کو تیزی سے اوپر لے جایا ہے۔ تاریخ بتاتی ہے کہ اتنی بلند قدریں قائم نہیں رہتیں، لیکن ماضی کا انداز یہ نہیں بتا سکتا کہ گراوٹ کب آئے گی۔

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