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Business • 2026-10-28, 23:14 GMT • ~1 min read

World Bank sees commodity prices rising 23% in 2026 as shocks mount

عالمی بینک: 2026 میں اجناس کی قیمتیں 23 فیصد بڑھنے کا امکان

विश्व बैंक: 2026 में कमोडिटी कीमतें 23% बढ़ने का अनुमान

World Bank sees commodity prices rising 23% in 2026 as shocks mount

Key points

اہم نکات

मुख्य बातें

  • The World Bank says global commodity prices are set to rise 23% in 2026, driven by the Middle East war, disrupted grain shipments in the Black Sea and strong demand for safe-haven assets such as gold.
  • Energy prices are projected to jump 32% to a four-year high, with Brent crude averaging $91 a barrel against $69 in 2025, while food prices are expected to rise about 10% in 2026 and another 7% in 2027.
  • Global oil supply is forecast to fall 5.2%, the biggest drop in four decades outside the 2020 recession, and the bank warns higher costs could worsen inflation, food insecurity and growth, especially for the poorest countries.
  • عالمی بینک کا کہنا ہے کہ 2026 میں عالمی اجناس کی قیمتیں 23 فیصد بڑھنے کا امکان ہے، جس کی وجہ مشرق وسطیٰ کی جنگ، بحیرہ اسود میں اناج کی ترسیل میں خلل اور سونے جیسے محفوظ اثاثوں کی مانگ ہے۔ توانائی کی قیمتوں میں 32 فیصد اضافہ متوقع ہے جو چار سال کی بلند ترین سطح ہوگی، برینٹ خام تیل اوسطاً 91 ڈالر فی بیرل رہے گا جبکہ 2025 میں 69 ڈالر تھا، اور خوراک کی قیمتوں میں 2026 میں تقریباً 10 فیصد اور 2027 میں مزید 7 فیصد اضافہ متوقع ہے۔ عالمی تیل کی رسد میں 5.2 فیصد کمی کا امکان ہے جو 2020 کی کساد بازاری کے علاوہ چار دہائیوں کی سب سے بڑی کمی ہوگی، اور بینک نے خبردار کیا ہے کہ زیادہ قیمتیں مہنگائی، خوراک کی قلت اور ترقی کو نقصان پہنچا سکتی ہیں، خاص طور پر غریب ترین ممالک میں۔
  • विश्व बैंक का कहना है कि 2026 में वैश्विक कमोडिटी कीमतें 23% बढ़ने का अनुमान है, जिसकी वजह मध्य पूर्व का युद्ध, काला सागर में अनाज की आपूर्ति में बाधा और सोने जैसी सुरक्षित संपत्तियों की मांग है। ऊर्जा की कीमतों में 32% की बढ़ोतरी का अनुमान है जो चार साल का उच्च स्तर होगा, ब्रेंट कच्चा तेल औसतन 91 डॉलर प्रति बैरल रहेगा जबकि 2025 में 69 डॉलर था, और खाद्य कीमतों में 2026 में लगभग 10% और 2027 में 7% और बढ़ोतरी का अनुमान है। वैश्विक तेल आपूर्ति में 5.2% की गिरावट का अनुमान है जो 2020 की मंदी के अलावा चार दशकों की सबसे बड़ी गिरावट होगी, और बैंक ने चेतावनी दी है कि ऊंची कीमतें महंगाई, खाद्य असुरक्षा और विकास को नुकसान पहुंचा सकती हैं, खासकर सबसे गरीब देशों में।

The World Bank says global commodity prices are set to rise 23% in 2026, driven by the Middle East war, disrupted grain shipments in the Black Sea and strong demand for safe-haven assets such as gold. Energy prices are projected to jump 32% to a four-year high, with Brent crude averaging $91 a barrel against $69 in 2025, while food prices are expected to rise about 10% in 2026 and another 7% in 2027. Global oil supply is forecast to fall 5.2%, the biggest drop in four decades outside the 2020 recession, and the bank warns higher costs could worsen inflation, food insecurity and growth, especially for the poorest countries.

عالمی بینک کا کہنا ہے کہ 2026 میں عالمی اجناس کی قیمتیں 23 فیصد بڑھنے کا امکان ہے، جس کی وجہ مشرق وسطیٰ کی جنگ، بحیرہ اسود میں اناج کی ترسیل میں خلل اور سونے جیسے محفوظ اثاثوں کی مانگ ہے۔ توانائی کی قیمتوں میں 32 فیصد اضافہ متوقع ہے جو چار سال کی بلند ترین سطح ہوگی، برینٹ خام تیل اوسطاً 91 ڈالر فی بیرل رہے گا جبکہ 2025 میں 69 ڈالر تھا، اور خوراک کی قیمتوں میں 2026 میں تقریباً 10 فیصد اور 2027 میں مزید 7 فیصد اضافہ متوقع ہے۔ عالمی تیل کی رسد میں 5.2 فیصد کمی کا امکان ہے جو 2020 کی کساد بازاری کے علاوہ چار دہائیوں کی سب سے بڑی کمی ہوگی، اور بینک نے خبردار کیا ہے کہ زیادہ قیمتیں مہنگائی، خوراک کی قلت اور ترقی کو نقصان پہنچا سکتی ہیں، خاص طور پر غریب ترین ممالک میں۔

विश्व बैंक का कहना है कि 2026 में वैश्विक कमोडिटी कीमतें 23% बढ़ने का अनुमान है, जिसकी वजह मध्य पूर्व का युद्ध, काला सागर में अनाज की आपूर्ति में बाधा और सोने जैसी सुरक्षित संपत्तियों की मांग है। ऊर्जा की कीमतों में 32% की बढ़ोतरी का अनुमान है जो चार साल का उच्च स्तर होगा, ब्रेंट कच्चा तेल औसतन 91 डॉलर प्रति बैरल रहेगा जबकि 2025 में 69 डॉलर था, और खाद्य कीमतों में 2026 में लगभग 10% और 2027 में 7% और बढ़ोतरी का अनुमान है। वैश्विक तेल आपूर्ति में 5.2% की गिरावट का अनुमान है जो 2020 की मंदी के अलावा चार दशकों की सबसे बड़ी गिरावट होगी, और बैंक ने चेतावनी दी है कि ऊंची कीमतें महंगाई, खाद्य असुरक्षा और विकास को नुकसान पहुंचा सकती हैं, खासकर सबसे गरीब देशों में।

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