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a potentially massive dwarf planet candidate beyond PlutoEating blueberries every day may ease depressive symptoms in older adultsEating blueberries every day may ease depressive symptoms in older adultsEating blueberries every day may ease depressive symptoms in older adultsIran warns of a 'new battlefield' after reported US strike on QeshmIran warns of a 'new battlefield' after reported US strike on QeshmIran warns of a 'new battlefield' after reported US strike on Qeshm
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USA • 2026-10-28, 12:13 ET • ~1 min read

Prediction markets give Democrats 92% chance of House win, 67% for Senate

پیش گوئی مارکیٹوں میں ڈیموکریٹس کی ایوان میں جیت کا امکان 92 فیصد، سینیٹ میں 67 فیصد

पूर्वानुमान बाज़ारों में डेमोक्रेट्स की हाउस जीत की संभावना 92%, सीनेट में 67%

Prediction markets give Democrats 92% chance of House win, 67% for Senate

Key points

اہم نکات

मुख्य बातें

  • Prediction markets are leaning strongly toward Democrats winning control of Congress in the November 3 midterm elections, with traders more confident about the House than the Senate.
  • Polymarket gave Democrats about a 92 percent chance of winning the House and 67 percent for the Senate on Wednesday morning, projecting roughly 236 Democratic House seats and 52 Senate seats, while Kalshi put the chances at about 91 percent and 64 percent.
  • The battle for the Senate could come down to seven states: Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Alaska and Kansas.
  • پیش گوئی مارکیٹوں کا رجحان 3 نومبر کے وسط مدتی انتخابات میں کانگریس پر ڈیموکریٹس کے کنٹرول کی طرف ہے، اور تاجر سینیٹ کے مقابلے میں ایوان کے بارے میں زیادہ پراعتماد ہیں۔ بدھ کی صبح پولی مارکیٹ نے ڈیموکریٹس کی ایوان میں جیت کا امکان تقریباً 92 فیصد اور سینیٹ میں 67 فیصد بتایا، جس میں تقریباً 236 ڈیموکریٹک ایوان کی نشستیں اور 52 سینیٹ کی نشستیں متوقع ہیں، جبکہ کالشی نے یہ امکان تقریباً 91 فیصد اور 64 فیصد بتایا۔ سینیٹ کا کنٹرول سات ریاستوں پر منحصر ہو سکتا ہے: ٹیکساس، اوہائیو، آئیووا، مین، مشی گن، الاسکا اور کنساس۔ پیش گوئی مارکیٹ کے اعداد سروے یا انتخابی پیش گوئی نہیں ہیں؛ یہ تاجروں کی خرید و فروخت سے طے شدہ قیمتیں ظاہر کرتے ہیں۔
  • पूर्वानुमान बाज़ारों का रुझान 3 नवंबर के मध्यावधि चुनावों में कांग्रेस पर डेमोक्रेट्स के नियंत्रण की ओर है, और व्यापारी सीनेट की तुलना में हाउस के बारे में अधिक आश्वस्त हैं। बुधवार सुबह पॉलीमार्केट ने डेमोक्रेट्स की हाउस जीत की संभावना लगभग 92 प्रतिशत और सीनेट में 67 प्रतिशत बताई, जिसमें लगभग 236 डेमोक्रेटिक हाउस सीटें और 52 सीनेट सीटें अनुमानित हैं, जबकि कलशी ने यह संभावना लगभग 91 प्रतिशत और 64 प्रतिशत बताई। सीनेट का नियंत्रण सात राज्यों पर निर्भर हो सकता है: टेक्सास, ओहायो, आयोवा, मेन, मिशिगन, अलास्का और कंसास। पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार के आंकड़े सर्वेक्षण या चुनावी पूर्वानुमान नहीं हैं; ये व्यापारियों की खरीद-बिक्री से तय कीमतों को दर्शाते हैं।

Prediction markets are leaning strongly toward Democrats winning control of Congress in the November 3 midterm elections, with traders more confident about the House than the Senate. Polymarket gave Democrats about a 92 percent chance of winning the House and 67 percent for the Senate on Wednesday morning, projecting roughly 236 Democratic House seats and 52 Senate seats, while Kalshi put the chances at about 91 percent and 64 percent. The battle for the Senate could come down to seven states: Texas, Ohio, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Alaska and Kansas. Prediction-market odds are not polls or election forecasts; they reflect prices set by traders buying and selling contracts tied to the outcome.

پیش گوئی مارکیٹوں کا رجحان 3 نومبر کے وسط مدتی انتخابات میں کانگریس پر ڈیموکریٹس کے کنٹرول کی طرف ہے، اور تاجر سینیٹ کے مقابلے میں ایوان کے بارے میں زیادہ پراعتماد ہیں۔ بدھ کی صبح پولی مارکیٹ نے ڈیموکریٹس کی ایوان میں جیت کا امکان تقریباً 92 فیصد اور سینیٹ میں 67 فیصد بتایا، جس میں تقریباً 236 ڈیموکریٹک ایوان کی نشستیں اور 52 سینیٹ کی نشستیں متوقع ہیں، جبکہ کالشی نے یہ امکان تقریباً 91 فیصد اور 64 فیصد بتایا۔ سینیٹ کا کنٹرول سات ریاستوں پر منحصر ہو سکتا ہے: ٹیکساس، اوہائیو، آئیووا، مین، مشی گن، الاسکا اور کنساس۔ پیش گوئی مارکیٹ کے اعداد سروے یا انتخابی پیش گوئی نہیں ہیں؛ یہ تاجروں کی خرید و فروخت سے طے شدہ قیمتیں ظاہر کرتے ہیں۔

पूर्वानुमान बाज़ारों का रुझान 3 नवंबर के मध्यावधि चुनावों में कांग्रेस पर डेमोक्रेट्स के नियंत्रण की ओर है, और व्यापारी सीनेट की तुलना में हाउस के बारे में अधिक आश्वस्त हैं। बुधवार सुबह पॉलीमार्केट ने डेमोक्रेट्स की हाउस जीत की संभावना लगभग 92 प्रतिशत और सीनेट में 67 प्रतिशत बताई, जिसमें लगभग 236 डेमोक्रेटिक हाउस सीटें और 52 सीनेट सीटें अनुमानित हैं, जबकि कलशी ने यह संभावना लगभग 91 प्रतिशत और 64 प्रतिशत बताई। सीनेट का नियंत्रण सात राज्यों पर निर्भर हो सकता है: टेक्सास, ओहायो, आयोवा, मेन, मिशिगन, अलास्का और कंसास। पूर्वानुमान बाज़ार के आंकड़े सर्वेक्षण या चुनावी पूर्वानुमान नहीं हैं; ये व्यापारियों की खरीद-बिक्री से तय कीमतों को दर्शाते हैं।

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